See also the main article on Alaska, for documented election integrity issues and further reports.
Former US military intelligence officer and statistical analyst Seth Keshel analyzed the trends of voter registrations versus actual votes. The following report indicates which counties’ vote counts align with the trend in voter registrations and which have small or large divergences. Each county is flagged as red, yellow, or green, based on whether the 2020 vote totals aligned with the expected trends (as past decades demonstrate they typically do), or if they diverged in statistically unlikely ways.
| Trump votes | Biden votes | Other votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Officially reported results | 189951 (52.8%) | 153778 (42.8%) | 15809 (4.4%) |
| Estimate of potential fraud | 19000 (5.3%) | ||
| Estimate of actual result
(with fraud removed) |
189951 (55.8%) | 134778 (39.6%) | 15809 (4.6%) |
Notes: apologies for the crude map. AK is divided electorally into 40 State House districts, and that is how they track presidential results. These are new as of 2016, so trends are not available except for Party ID shifts and new voter numbers.
Fairbanks is districts 1-3, and Anchorage is 15-28, with 7-14 being surrounding areas. Trump trended heavily 37-40, which are largely native and reflects growth with minority voters.
Biden is 38k over Clinton in one cycle, with Trump up 27k. Trump is still not higher than McCain 2008.
Alaska has a lot of parties and has some indies, but I made some serious discoveries that cannot be captured fully in this caption. I am going to stop at the bottom line, and YOU NEED TO READ THE ATTACHMENT CALLED “AK INTEL SUMMARY.”
Biden appears 19k heavy, meaning a more likely margin in Alaska counting only excess votes is 55.7% to 37.4%, or 18.3% instead of 10.0%.
Source: https://t.me/CaptainKMapsandStats/37
Top 100 Worst Counties
Seth has listed Alaska’s Anchorage County as being among the Nation’s Top 100 Worst Counties in terms of abnormal trends during the 2020 election.
Possible Voter Roll Manipulation
A number of states, both key competitive states, and not, have machined/trimmed/manipulated their voter rolls for the desired outcomes. Here is an example from Alaska:
From 2012-16, there were just 23,000 net new registered voters, split 51% for a party and 49% Independent/other. From 2016-20, 3x the amount (68,000), at 4.5% Republican, 3.5% Democrat, and NINETY-TWO PERCENT Independent/Other. This forces most of their voting districts left thanks to the amount of indies diluting the math, suggesting a left lurch to an analyst. You may remember that Alaska took 3 days to call even with the artificially shortened 10% margin. I believe it was the 3-electoral vote putter in the proverbial golf bag in case Biden got hung up at 268 electoral votes.
Source: https://t.me/ElectionHQ2024/788
Further Analysis on Alaska
This video, featuring Seth Keshel, discusses some of the issues with Alaska, starting at 22min mark. He says that it’s very odd and possibly suspicious that Alaska took so long to count and submit their final results, considering the relatively small number of votes.
Further Updates
-
David Eastman, Alaska State Representative, spoke at the Cyber Symposium (view video, starting around 2hr 55min mark) saying:
- In Alaska, the election process has been given over to a government monopoly
- 2 weeks before election, their database was hacked
- Government decided not to let anyone know about it. They waited until after the election was certified!
- 100,000 citizens had their data breached
The strength of the Constitution lies entirely in the determination of each citizen to defend it. Only if every single citizen feels duty bound to do his share in this defense are the constitutional rights secure.”
― Albert Einstein
Methodology
Seth Keshel’s estimates are based on the percentage of voters who are registered to each party (where it’s possible to obtain this information) compared to the actual votes for each party. He examined these party trends over the last two decades, as well as population growth, which brought to light the strange and statistically unlikely outliers and anomalies that occurred in 2020. We explain this process, step by step, with visual examples, in our guide How to Predict Election Results Using Registration Data, so that you can investigate the numbers for yourself.
This video from Telegram also explains some of Seth’s approach to analyzing precincts.
Raw Data
We aim to publish links to both the raw election data and voter registration data for Alaska so that citizens and researchers can analyze this information for themselves.
Election Audit Groups on Telegram
Further updates from Seth Keshel can be found on his Telegram Channel @ElectionHQ2024.
To join the grassroots efforts in pursuing election integrity and audits of the 2020 election in Alaska, you can join the following groups on Telegram:
For other states, see our Full List of Telegram Channels.
ElectionFraud20.org and Seth Keshel have no affiliation with nor any responsibility for these channels. Discern carefully, as some users and even admins of channels have shown obstruction to transparent audits of our elections.