See also the main article on Maryland, for documented election integrity issues and further reports.
Former US military intelligence officer and statistical analyst Seth Keshel analyzed the trends of voter registrations versus actual votes. The following report indicates which counties’ vote counts align with the trend in voter registrations and which have small or large divergences. Each county is flagged as red, yellow, or green, based on whether the 2020 vote totals aligned with the expected trends (as past decades demonstrate they typically do), or if they diverged in statistically unlikely ways.
| Trump votes | Biden votes | Other votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Officially reported results | 976414 (32.15%) | 1985023 (65.36%) | 75623 (2.49%) |
| Estimate of potential fraud | 128000 (4.2%) | ||
| Estimate of actual result
(with fraud removed) |
976414 (33.6%) | 1857023 (63.8%) | 75623 (2.6%) |
For a state overwhelmingly favoring Biden, there is a startling amount of excess Dem votes, including in overwhelmingly Republican territory. I have met with MD integrity group previously and the numbers in Carroll and Harford are eye-popping. Frederick went from 3 point Trump win to 10 point loss, with a Trump gain in votes. Anne Arundel is +44k over 2016 for Biden at a massive record, with a modest Trump gain.
Statewide, Obama (x2) and Clinton were all in 1.6mm range. Biden is up ~300k, with little explanation and solid GOP trends away from the massive Dem strongholds that crush the GOP in the south. Estimate 128k heavy for Biden, at lenient estimate.
Baltimore City trended clean. Doesn’t mean no fraud, just a clean trend.
Best Trump county audit targets – Harford (12k), Carroll (8k).
If Biden is 128k heavy, margin would be 63.8% to 33.6%, or 881k votes.
Seth also discusses the Maryland findings on the Steel Truth podcast, July 27, 2021.
Source: https://t.me/CaptainKMapsandStats/120
Top 100 Worst Counties
Seth has listed Maryland’s Harford County as being among the Nation’s Top 100 Worst Counties in terms of abnormal trends during the 2020 election.
Methodology
Seth Keshel’s estimates are based on the percentage of voters who are registered to each party (where it’s possible to obtain this information) compared to the actual votes for each party. He examined these party trends over the last two decades, as well as population growth, which brought to light the strange and statistically unlikely outliers and anomalies that occurred in 2020. We explain this process, step by step, with visual examples, in our guide How to Predict Election Results Using Registration Data, so that you can investigate the numbers for yourself.
This video from Telegram also explains some of Seth’s approach to analyzing precincts.
Raw Data
We aim to publish links to both the raw election data and voter registration data for Maryland so that citizens and researchers can analyze this information for themselves.
Other Reports
- A team of scientists from Election-Integrity.info produced the report “2020 Presidential Election Contrast Analysis” which lists Maryland as the state with the 5th highest number of unexpected Biden votes
Election Audit Groups on Telegram
Further updates from Seth Keshel can be found on his Telegram Channel @ElectionHQ2024.
To join the grassroots efforts in pursuing election integrity and audits of the 2020 election in Maryland, you can join the following groups on Telegram:
For other states, see our Full List of Telegram Channels.
ElectionFraud20.org and Seth Keshel have no affiliation with nor any responsibility for these channels. Discern carefully, as some users and even admins of channels have shown obstruction to transparent audits of our elections.