See also the main article on North Dakota, for documented election integrity issues and further reports.
Former US military intelligence officer and statistical analyst Seth Keshel analyzed the trends of voter registrations versus actual votes. The following report indicates which counties’ vote counts align with the trend in voter registrations and which have small or large divergences. Each county is flagged as red, yellow, or green, based on whether the 2020 vote totals aligned with the expected trends (as past decades demonstrate they typically do), or if they diverged in statistically unlikely ways.
| Trump votes | Biden votes | Other votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Officially reported results | 235595 (65.1%) | 114902 (31.8%) | 11201 (3.1%) |
| Estimate of potential fraud | 8000 (2.2%) | ||
| Estimate of actual result
(with fraud removed) |
235595 (66.6%) | 106902 (30.2%) | 11201 (3.2%) |
North Dakota doesn’t give me party registration information but has trended heavily GOP since it was within ten points and Obama won Cass (Fargo) in 2008.
Fargo is a big energy city, so working classes are pushing away and gravitating to the right – Biden is at least 6k heavy based on recent trends and the inverse drift of the two parties, though growth could be expected with population growth and high turnout – otherwise that could be as much as 10k.
Burleigh has been in an inverse Trend since Obama carried it in 2008, and appears about 2k heavy. All other counties trend clean.
Overall, one of the top 5 cleanest trending states.
Audit targets: Cass, Burleigh
Source: https://t.me/ElectionHQ2024/717
Further Updates
Methodology
Seth Keshel’s estimates are based on the percentage of voters who are registered to each party (where it’s possible to obtain this information) compared to the actual votes for each party. He examined these party trends over the last two decades, as well as population growth, which brought to light the strange and statistically unlikely outliers and anomalies that occurred in 2020. We explain this process, step by step, with visual examples, in our guide How to Predict Election Results Using Registration Data, so that you can investigate the numbers for yourself.
This video from Telegram also explains some of Seth’s approach to analyzing precincts.
Raw Data
We aim to publish links to both the raw election data and voter registration data for North Dakota so that citizens and researchers can analyze this information for themselves.
Election Audit Groups on Telegram
Further updates from Seth Keshel can be found on his Telegram Channel @ElectionHQ2024.
To join the grassroots efforts in pursuing election integrity and audits of the 2020 election in North Dakota, you can join the following groups on Telegram:
For other states, see our Full List of Telegram Channels.
ElectionFraud20.org and Seth Keshel have no affiliation with nor any responsibility for these channels. Discern carefully, as some users and even admins of channels have shown obstruction to transparent audits of our elections.